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Comps to 1992

NYShoreGuy

All Universe
Gold Member
Jan 7, 2006
32,409
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Republican first term incumbent, 3rd party candidate takes votes away, waiting for scholarly entries from poly sci crowd on how Liberterian candidate swayed outcome
 
The only thing comparable to 1992 is this is the first time since then that we'll have a one term president. Ross Perot was a major player in that election. None of the third party candidates were in this one.
 
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The only thing comparable to 1992 is this is the first time since then that we'll have a one term president. Ross Perot was a major player in that election. None of the third party candidates were in this one.
Go look at Liberterian candidate votes in close states
 
The way in which we voted made this unnecessarily dramatic. It's like watching a game in reverse, in slow motion. The deluge of ballots, some states not counting them as they received them, record turnout because of the ease of using paper ballots during a pandemic, the sitting President saying he was cheated and robbed by fraud across like 5 States while they were still counting (which then slowed the outstanding counting), the process was just a mess.

But ultimately Biden will end up with a majority vote and probably win the popular 52-47% with 300+ EC in the highest turnout in 100+ years, yet it feels as close as Florida 2000 because of the unusual paper process. It's really not. It's more 2012 Obama/Romney than 2000 or 1992. There was almost zero 3rd Party influence this time, which affected 1992 and 2016.

Voters switched out Trump, which is not surprising to me after the year we've had and the temperament, but ultimately rejected the broader Democratic platform. I don't expect much change in the next few years. Let's see if new leadership without anyone on an election year changes how we handle this insane pandemic.
 
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The way in which we voted made this unnecessarily dramatic. It's like watching a game in reverse, in slow motion. The deluge of ballots, some states not counting them as they received them, record turnout because of the ease of using paper ballots during a pandemic, the sitting President saying he was cheated and robbed by fraud across like 5 States while they were still counting (which then slowed the outstanding counting), the process was just a mess.

But ultimately Biden will end up with a majority vote and probably win the popular 52-47% with 300+ EC in the highest turnout in 100+ years, yet it feels as close as Florida 2000 because of the unusual paper process. It's really not. It's more 2012 Obama/Romney than 2000 or 1992. There was almost zero 3rd Party influence this time, which affected 1992 and 2016.

Voters switched out Trump, which is not surprising to me after the year we've had and the temperament, but ultimately rejected the broader Democratic platform. I don't expect much change in the next few years. Let's see if new leadership without anyone on an election year changes how we handle this insane pandemic.
some states not allowed* to count them when they recieved them. it was purposely set up to be drawn out so the outcome could be questioned.

its clear the mail in/drop off was pretty seamless. if we just count those earlier there is no real issue and no real drama. remember, trump was telling his voters to vote in person. the see saw was expected, as unusual as it still is.
 
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