
John Calipari’s fastball looks gone with Kentucky in danger of missing March Madness
There’s a concerning recent trend at Kentucky, as this proud, powerhouse program fades under John Calipari.

By Zach Braziller
The bar was supposed to be the Sweet 16. At a minimum. Last March’s epic loss to Cinderella Saint Peter’s felt fluky, one of those stunning results the NCAA Tournament produces annually.
Instead, it seems to be part of a concerning recent trend at Kentucky, as this proud, powerhouse program fades under John Calipari.
With a NET ranking of 45, a 1-7 record in Quad 1 games and a Quad 4 loss, the Wildcats are in danger of missing the tournament for the second time in three years. If they don’t go dancing, it would mean zero NCAA Tournament wins in the last three years. The last time that happened in Lexington was 1988-91, due to a postseason ban.
It’s fair to wonder if Calipari, despite his recruiting prowess, has lost his fastball at the age of 64. He certainly isn’t bringing it like he once did. There is no other explanation for this team to find itself in its current predicament. It returned Oscar Tshiebwe, the National Player of the Year a season ago, point guard Sahvir Wheeler and sharpshooter CJ Fredrick. It brought in a top-five recruiting class led by five-star wings Cason Wallace and Chris Livingston, and added quality Illinois State transfer Antonio Reeves. The team was ranked fourth in the preseason. It was expected to be one of the nation’s premier teams.
Yet, it is early February and Kentucky is on the bubble after a dismal loss at rebuilding Georgia on Saturday. Aside from an impressive win at No. 6 Tennessee on Jan. 14, the résumé is pedestrian at best. The defense is ranked 87th nationally in efficiency. It certainly doesn’t look good for Calipari that Bryce Hopkins, an uber-talented wing who rarely played last season, has blossomed into a Big East Player of the Year candidate under Ed Cooley at Providence. Kentucky could use him this year.
Now, there are plenty of opportunities left for the Wildcats in the top-heavy SEC to play their way off the bubble. They still have games left against projected tournament teams Tennessee, Arkansas, Auburn and Texas A&M, and then the conference tournament. This group has shown instances of promise, most notably the win at Tennessee. Consistency, however, has escaped Calipari and Co. Kentucky still has a few weeks left to find it. Otherwise, it will create some unwanted history, and the heat on the coach will increase significantly. If not for a big finish, more and more questions will arise about his ability to win big again, despite the top-ranked recruiting class he has coming in next year. This team’s problem, after all, doesn’t feel like a talent issue.
Bet on the Big 12
The NCAA Tournament is still over a month away, but I will be picking teams based on one unscientific method: Back the Big 12. No teams will be better prepared than those coming from the best league in the country. The league is cannibalizing itself. No. 12 Kansas State has lost three of four. No. 17 TCU has dropped three straight. No. 11 Iowa State has fallen in three of its last four contests. Only two losses separate six teams at the top of the conference.Steady as she goes
In the transfer portal era, where we see coaches turn around programs in one year, there are examples of patience paying off. You’re seeing it at Pittsburgh as Jeff Capel has the Panthers tied atop the ACC with No. 8 Virginia in his fifth season and you’re seeing it at Northwestern, where Chris Collins has the Wildcats in position to return to the tournament for the first time in six years after their upset of No. 1 Purdue — the school’s first ever over No. 1 — on Sunday. The quick hook doesn’t always pay off. Continuity can work.Game of the Week
No. 3 Alabama at No. 6 Tennessee, Wednesday, 7 p.m.
The Crimson Tide aren’t just the lone undefeated high-major program in conference play, they have hardly been tested in the SEC, winning their 12 league games by an average of 21.1 points. Wednesday in Knoxville will be Alabama’s stiffest challenge, facing Tennessee’s top-ranked defense based on efficiency. It is a fascinating contrast in styles, the go-go Crimson Tide against the plodding, defensively stout Volunteers.Super 16
A prediction of the top four seeds in the NCAA Tournament
1. Alabama, Purdue, Kansas, Houston2. Texas, Arizona, UCLA, Tennessee
3. Virginia, Baylor, Marquette, Gonzaga
4. Iowa State, Indiana, Kansas State, Connecticut