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OT: NFL PLAYOFF POSSIBILITIES

SnakeTom

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May 29, 2001
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Oddly the Giants at 6-7 have a better chance to make the playoffs than the 8-5 Jets do using the NFL tie breaker fomulas. The reason of course is that the Giants are playing in arguably the weakest Division in the NFL and are in a 3 way tie for first place. If The Giants and Washinton finish the season in a tie the Skins win. But if the Giants run the table that would, of course, eliminate the Eagles from contention. In that scenario, they would simply be looking for Washington to lose once.

If the Giants can split with the Panthers and Vikings, they would have to hope that 8-8 will be good enough and that their Week 17 game with Philadelphia will decide the division. The Times playoff simulator gives the Giants an 85 percent chance to win the division if they beat the Panthers and Eagles and a 57 percent chance of they lose to Carolina but win their final two games.

The Jets on the other hand would be in the playoffs if the season ended today but of course it doesn't. Right now they are in a 3 way tie for two wildcard spots with KC & Pittsburg. But if all three sweep out the Jets would be eliminated with an 11-5 record. The reason is that Pitt plays 3 games against AFC foes whereas the Jets have a game with Dallas. The AFC record is the first tie breaker & Pitt would jump over the Jets in that scenario if they are tied at either 10 or 11 wins. KC has by far the easiest remaining schedule. But if both Pitt & the Jets lose one game and the Jet loss is to Dallas rather than NE or Buffalo then they get the 2nd spot. That being the case Jets fans such as myself better hope that Pitt loses to Denver this Sunday.

Tom K
 
FROM ESPN - NY
The Kansas City Chiefs, New York Jets and Pittsburgh Steelers are all 8-5 and fighting for playoff spots. All three rank in the 6-10 range in the Week 15 ESPN NFL Power Rankings.

Even though the Steelers are currently the odd man out of the playoff picture, the Jets are the team that is least likely to play in the postseason, according toESPN’s Football Power Index. FPI has the Chiefs making the playoffs in 94 percent of simulations, the Steelers in 82 percent and the Jets in 25 percent.

Much of that is due to the Chiefs and Steelers each having the Baltimore Ravens(4-9) and Cleveland Browns (3-10) left on their schedules. The Jets have a tough matchup against the 11-2 New England Patriots in Week 16.
 
The league is so week to week. Think of how it changes for the Jets if they just hold serve in Dallas, but Pittsburgh loses to Denver.

Or if Buffalo beats Washington, Arizona beats Philadelphia, and Carolina beats the Giants.

All possible outcomes. Wild time.
 
Oddly the Giants at 6-7 have a better chance to make the playoffs than the 8-5 Jets do using the NFL tie breaker fomulas. The reason of course is that the Giants are playing in arguably the weakest Division in the NFL and are in a 3 way tie for first place. If The Giants and Washinton finish the season in a tie the Skins win. But if the Giants run the table that would, of course, eliminate the Eagles from contention. In that scenario, they would simply be looking for Washington to lose once.

If the Giants can split with the Panthers and Vikings, they would have to hope that 8-8 will be good enough and that their Week 17 game with Philadelphia will decide the division. The Times playoff simulator gives the Giants an 85 percent chance to win the division if they beat the Panthers and Eagles and a 57 percent chance of they lose to Carolina but win their final two games.

The Jets on the other hand would be in the playoffs if the season ended today but of course it doesn't. Right now they are in a 3 way tie for two wildcard spots with KC & Pittsburg. But if all three sweep out the Jets would be eliminated with an 11-5 record. The reason is that Pitt plays 3 games against AFC foes whereas the Jets have a game with Dallas. The AFC record is the first tie breaker & Pitt would jump over the Jets in that scenario if they are tied at either 10 or 11 wins. KC has by far the easiest remaining schedule. But if both Pitt & the Jets lose one game and the Jet loss is to Dallas rather than NE or Buffalo then they get the 2nd spot. That being the case Jets fans such as myself better hope that Pitt loses to Denver this Sunday.

Tom K


Tom, as a fellow Jet fan I am sure you were as disappointed as I was when Pittsburgh won against Cincy this past week....that was one I was counting on.

I will say this, you really have to like the way the Jets are playing; teams at this time of year that are confident are dangerous...and I dont know who is more confident then Fitz, the receivers, and that D right now. So....we shall see...
 
Tom, as a fellow Jet fan I am sure you were as disappointed as I was when Pittsburgh won against Cincy this past week....that was one I was counting on.

I will say this, you really have to like the way the Jets are playing; teams at this time of year that are confident are dangerous...and I dont know who is more confident then Fitz, the receivers, and that D right now. So....we shall see...

Yes it would have been nice if Pitt lost to Cinci, so all we can do is hope that they fall to Denver on Sunday and of course that the Jets continue to win their games. You know in a sick sort of way you could say that IK was the Jets MVP this season for disabling Geno & as a result Fitz getting the starting job.

Tom K
 
Tom, the Mets made the first part of the trifecta bny making it to the world series.

Now, if the Jets make it to the Super Bowl and the Pirates make it to the Final Four you can die a happy man.

Aahh, to dream the impossible dream.
 
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