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The NBA Draft age regulation and how it could impact college basketball


There will be big implications as the NBA eventually moves to change the age of draft eligibility​


By Kyle Boone

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USATSI

The NBA and the NBPA are reportedly in advanced talks, and expected to soon approve, lowering the draft eligibility age from 19 to 18 years old as soon as 2024. The move, which could be agreed upon as soon as this week as part of ongoing Collective Bargaining Agreement negotiations, would return the NBA to a bygone era when prospects could jump from high school to the NBA and would effectively wipe out the one-and-done era – a downstream effect on college basketball that arose after the NBA's 2005 change in draft eligibility age from 18 to 19 years old.
College basketball has thrived during the one-and-done era with iconic teams and players not likely to have ever stepped foot on a college campus if not for the NBA's age limit – Zion Williamson, Anthony Davis, Derrick Rose, John Wall and many others delivered indelible moments and big seasons for the sport – so the imminent change back to 18 years old for draft eligibility will mark another sea change moment in basketball. The change will have a reverberating effect impacting not only the NBA and college hoops but other pro avenues both within the states and abroad as well.
Here are five thoughts on the implications from the expected approval of the age limit change.

1. Talent drain for college basketball​

The one-and-done era has produced stars and seasons that will go down as some of the best and brightest in the history of the sport. The Zion Williamson year. The Anthony Davis NCAA Tournament run. The John Wall-DeMarcus Cousins team-up year at Kentucky. Even Cade Cunningham, Scottie Barnes and Evan Mobley will be remembered fondly as legends in their own right having blazed unique trails to non-traditional college bluebloods.

It won't just be big names that college hoops will miss, either. Over the last decade, just shy of three true freshmen one-and-dones were All-Americans on the first, second or third team as constructed by The Associated Press. They were big names and fun attractions, but they were valuable and productive, too. Replacing them with other recruits will be done in the post one-and-done era just as it was before the one-and-done era, but super-flame NBA prospects playing in college will become far more likely. There will still be one-and-dones emerging like D'Angelo Russell or Karl-Anthony Towns, but far more likely there will be Ja Morants or Jaden Iveys or Corey Kisperts – guys who burst onto the NBA scene after at least one season in college. Meanwhile, the true freshmen supernovas are more likely after the age change to take their talents and take the NBA route than they will be to risk going to college – even if Name, Image and Likeness rights has to an extent minimized that risk.

2. Players not in college pose more of a risk​

For NBA teams, here is the good: the risk profile when the age eligibility changes to 18 years old will change for the better. If you're the Mavericks and you're picking, say, 22nd overall, you can make a decision: take a safe second-year player from Marquette who has 3-and-D upside, or take a big swing on the 18-year-old with a five-star pedigree who profiles as a prolific three-level scorer? Big swings like that will regularly be more available to teams in the draft.

For NBA teams, that volatility and dynamic risk profile could also be bad. If you don't do your due diligence, relying solely on recruiting rankings or high school production, it could cost you big time. For example: Skal Labissiere, Cheick Diallo, Ivan Rabb and Le'Bryan Nash could easily have gone on to be top-10 NBA Draft picks. Their sample sizes posted in college ensured they were not. NBA teams won't be afforded that luxury moving forward.

3. Imminent double draft delight​

My friend and colleague Sam Quinn did a great job explaining what the "double draft" is – you can read that and more here – but this quick highlight cuts to the heart of why the much-discussed double draft is probably one of the two or three more interesting incoming implications from the age eligibility change.

All of the best freshmen from the 2023-24 collegiate season will be available as normal ... but so will the best high schoolers graduating in 2024. This has led many to refer to 2024 as the "double" draft, though it's a slightly exaggerated misnomer. It's likely that some high-schoolers will go to college seeking a friendlier draft process in 2025, and we might see more possible upperclassmen throw their names in the ring in 2023 to avoid the double draft. Still, the raw talent in the draft pool in 2024 should be remarkable.
If the change takes effect in 2024, teams will inevitably be stocking up – or trying to stock up – on picks in 2024. Not only will the crop be stronger at the top because it will be a class comprised of both high-schoolers and college players for the first time, but it will likely invite strength in the middle and into the late part of the draft, too. Even mid-to-late first-round picks could carry the value of a mid-to-late lottery pick in a normal year.

As you might suspect, Sam Presti and the Thunder are big beneficiaries of this potential change. They own an unprotected first-rounder from another team in 2024 in addition to their own.

The Rockets and Pelicans also own unprotected firsts in 2024 as well. This was always a possibility – the draft eligibility age had long been likely to change in 2023 or 2024 – but the calculus will change dramatically in the 2024 class. Teams are going to be bending over to try and get involved in the double draft and selections in that cycle could be worth a premium – something to monitor as the trade market over the next few months adjusts to a new reality.

Seton Hall Faces Providence And Villanova To Open BIG EAST Play

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South Orange, N.J. - Coming off of a convincing 3-0 win against Columbia last Thursday, the Seton Hall women's soccer team will look to carry its momentum into BIG EAST play as the Pirates welcome Providence and Villanova to Owen T. Carroll Field this week.

The Hall will face the Friars on Thursday at 6 p.m. on Thursday and the Wildcats on Sunday at 1 p.m.

STREAM INFORMATION
All PSN and BEDN events can be seen on FloSports, one of the leading streaming services in the world. Special Seton Hall pricing is available only through this link for fans who want to subscribe to watch Seton Hall events, home and away, as well as other live events on the FloSports platform. https://my.flosports.tv/partner/big...t=teams&utm_term=setonhall&rtid=&coverage_id= Fans with a .edu school address can purchase a subscription for $6.99 per month, and all other fans can purchase a subscription for $12.50 per month. The non-Seton Hall pricing on FloSports is normally $29.99 per month.

GAME PROMOTION

Thursday's game is a soccer scarf giveaway at Owen T. Carroll Field where the first 250 fans in attendance will receive a free Seton hall soccer scarf.

NEWS & NOTES

  • Seton Hall went 4-2-2 in the non-conference portion of its schedule and have gone 9-5-2 against non-league opponents over the last two seasons.
  • Three players earned BIG EAST honors this past week following the 3-0 win over Columbia; senior goalkeeper Grace Gordon (Chester Springs, Pa.) was named Goalkeeper of the Week, freshman Emma Sheehan (Argyle, Texas) was named Freshman of the Week and sophomore Natale Tavana (Middletown, Conn.) was named to the Weekly Honor Roll.
  • Gordon was named keeper of the week for the second consecutive week and the third time in her career after posting a season-best 10 saves on 20 shots faced.
  • Gordon was also named to Top Drawer Soccer's Women's National Team of the Week.
  • Gordon has registered shutouts in her last four appearances and has allowed only two goals this season.
  • Tavana leads the Pirates with seven points (2 G, 3 A)
  • Sheehan ranks second on the team with 15 shots and both of her goals this season have served as game-winners.
  • Gordon and the Seton Hall backline made up of senior Abbie Roberts (Bedfordshire, England), sophomore Chiara Pucci (Munich, Germany), junior Alex Fuggle (London, England) and sophomore Rachel Gerrie (Littleton, Colo.) have held opponents scoreless in five of Seton Hall's eight matches this season.
  • The Pirates defeated Villanova last season on the road to start BIG EAST play, 2-1, in what was the program's first conference road win since 2012.
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Butler NIL

At a meeting with a Butler Board of Trustee today. He is also one of eight board members for their collective. Interesting stuff. Goal is to collect $1M initially this year and build from there. Plan is to pay everyone on the roster a base number and a sliding scale from there based on market value. A player is also free to get other NIL money from businesses in the community. (He actually is doing that with one of the players for $5k.) It’s a close group collective right now but they plan to open it up at some point next year. Anyone with knowledge, how does ours compare?

Basketball related stuff he added:
- Shocked me by saying Butler will be a top 3 BE team this year. The transfers have been off the charts, especially Manny Bates and Ali Ali.
- Tore it up on their European trip.
- Matta will coach them up to. He is exceptionally high on the squad. He loves Matta as he played for him for two years.
- No surprise…said Miller and his brother are the two dirtiest coaches in college basketball…lol.
- Loves Holloway….who doesn’t?

Rutgers vs SHU Game Time

I have a Google calendar set for whenever SHU releases their schedule to populate for me. It had the game at noon. Rutgers just released their TV schedule and it's saying it's a 630 game. What changed?

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I'm aware it's tentative (I have 1 for Everton FC & those changes are constant) but not sure why the time difference change. Either way there's gonna be a lot of hungover students on Monday

NJ J6er going away for 4 years

Check out this story from Asbury Park Press: Colts Neck man gets 4 years in prison in Jan. 6 Capitol riot case

Timothy Hale-Cusanelli, who breached the the Capitol building in the front of the mob during the Jan. 6 riot is sentenced to 4 years in prison.

United we don’t stand

So much for uniting the country, it’s clear as day there are two systems of justice in America. The FBI is an embarrassment. I took my flag down in front of my house this AM. A raid on a former President? Intimidation tactics I thought were reserved for 3rd world country’s. On one hand we have a Presidents son who is clearly guilty now but was protected by the FBI out of the gate. A former First Lady and Secretary of State destroys emails and nothing happens. The political machine doing there best to destroy Trump just energized his base. The hatred is growing deeper and deeper, great job by current administration of further dividing the country. Just when I thought things could not be worse, well they just got worse.

Would the lowering of the NBA Draft age and ending the one-and-done era help or hurt college basketball?


In the latest Dribble Handoff, our experts anticipate the effect on college hoops if the one-and-done era comes to an end​


By David Cobb

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USATSI

College basketball is already in an era of transition, as loosened transfer restrictions and the arrival of the name, image and likeness era have changed the calculus in roster construction. Now, another monumental change might be in the works that could have a significant impact on the top of each recruiting class.

The NBA and NBPA are could potentially lower the minimum age for draft eligibility from 19 to 18 as soon as 2024, according to reports. In essence, the move would mean players could again jump straight from high school basketball to the NBA without making one-year stops somewhere else. Since 2005, one-and-done players have become a staple of college hoops as they regularly saw a season on a university campus as the best way to bridge the required gap between high school and the professional ranks.
So what would this mean for college basketball? The sport has survived a lot in recent years, and this development looks like just the latest curveball. So for this edition of the Dribble Handoff, our team of writers is weighing in on whether they think the potential change to the minimum draft age would be good or bad for college basketball.

College basketball might be hurt, but will be fine​

I think it's clear that losing the so-called one-and-done rule would hurt college basketball more than help considering we'll again start missing out on some of the best prep talent every year — i.e., the next versions of Kevin Durant, Derrick Rose, Jayson Tatum, Carmelo Anthony, Zion Williamson, Anthony Davis, Lonzo Ball and any other prospect gifted enough to convince an NBA franchise to spend a first-round pick on him after high school. That's not great. But I'm still in favor of the rule going away because A) college basketball will be fine regardless, and B) it's simply the right thing to do.

It's been proven, over and over again, that the top high school prospects are perfectly capable of succeeding via the prep-to-pro route. From 1995 through 2005 — otherwise known as the 11-year window during which prep prospects entered the NBA Draft regularly before the one-and-done rule started preventing it — a franchise used a first-round pick on exactly 29 high school players. At least five of those players (and maybe six depending on what you think of Amar'e Stoudemire) will end up as Naismith Memorial Hall of Famers. And eight of the 29 made at least one NBA All-Star Team. In other words, if you spent a first-round pick on a high school player between 1995 and 2005, there was a better than 20% chance you were getting a future Hall of Famer, and a 27.6% chance you were at least getting a future NBA All-Star. That's an incredible hit-rate and proof that the prep-to-pro era that brought Kevin Garnett, Tracy McGrady, Kobe Bryant, LeBron James and Dwight Howard to the NBA was, broadly speaking, great for the prospects and franchises involved. It was fine last time. It'll be fine this time. And, more than anything else, it'll represent a system that's more right and fair once again. -- Gary Parrish

NBA age limit significantly boosted college hoops' star power​

Feast your eyes on the list of players below. These are prospects since 2006 who came out of high school ranked in the top 10 in their graduating class and/or became highly drafted one-and-done All-American talents who played just one season of college basketball. It's safe to speculate that the overwhelming majority would have gone straight to the NBA if allowed. Instead, college basketball had them as stars for a season.

The list is long; that's the point.

Kevin Durant, Greg Oden, Eric Gordon, Michael Beasley, Derrick Rose, Kevin Love, Jrue Holiday, DeMar DeRozan, John Wall, DeMarcus Cousins, Derrick Favors, Lance Stephenson, Kyrie Irving, Tobias Harris, Anthony Davis, Austin Rivers, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Bradley Beal, Nerlens Noel, Andrew Wiggins, Julius Randle, Aaron Gordon, Jabari Parker, D'Angelo Russell, Ben Simmons, Brandon Ingram, Jaylen Brown, Karl-Anthony Towns, Jahlil Okafor, Lonzo Ball, Jayson Tatum, De'Aaron Fox, Bam Adebayo, Malik Monk, Trae Young, Deandre Ayton, Marvin Bagley III, Zion Williamson, RJ Barrett, Vernon Carey Jr., Anthony Edwards, Cole Anthony, Cade Cunningham, Evan Mobley Jr., Scottie Barnes, Jalen Suggs, Chet Holmgren and Paolo Banchero.

Seton Hall Hires Five Staff Members During Summer 2022 Period


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South Orange, N.J. - Over the Summer 2022 period, Seton Hall Athletics made five outstanding hires that strengthen the department and its pursuit for enhancing the student-athlete experience. In a nod to Seton Hall University's commitment to prepare students to be leaders in their professional lives, included in the five hires are four Seton Hall graduates.

Joining the athletics department this summer were Matt Ambrose '19 as an Assistant Director for Athletics Communications, Caroline Brennan '19, MS ATC '20 as an Assistant Athletic Trainer, Gregg Childers '15 as an Assistant Equipment Manager, Anthony Fabiano '22 as an Assistant Director for Recreational Services and Tyler Davis as the McLendon Minority Leadership Initiative (MLI) Student-Athlete Experience Coordinator.

"We were very excited to add five talented individuals who are working towards making an impact for our student-athletes and the student body at large here at Seton Hall," said Director of Athletics & Recreation Bryan Felt '97, MA '05. "It is especially a proud moment for us that we are able to welcome home four Seton Hall graduates who have a passion for this University and want to come back and help make a difference at their alma mater. Congratulations to Matt, Caroline, Gregg and Anthony on coming home!

"And we are also excited to welcome Tyler as part of the McLendon Minority Leadership Initiative. Tyler is a former student-athlete who can draw upon his own experiences to help our student-athletes grow and enhance their day-to-day experience."

Ambrose, who graduated from Seton Hall with a Bachelor of Arts in Journalism in 2019, returns to The Hall after one year as a communications assistant at the BIG EAST Conference, where he was the primary media contact for multiple sports and assisted with men's and women's basketball media relations and operations. He also currently freelances as play-by-play broadcaster with the BIG EAST Digital Network. Prior to the BIG EAST, Ambrose spent two years as an athletic communications broadcast assistant at Frostburg State University, where he also earned his master's degree. At Seton Hall, Ambrose currently works closely with the men's soccer, men's & women's cross country, men's & women's swimming & diving and softball teams.

Brennan, who graduated from Seton Hall in 2019 with a Bachelor of Arts in Social and Behavioral Sciences and again in 2020 with a Master of Science in Athletic Training, is coming home to The Hall after previously working as an assistant athletic trainer at Army West Point and Drew University. At Army, she worked closely with the department's football and wrestling teams. Now at Seton Hall, she is the athletic trainer for the volleyball and baseball teams.

Childers graduated from Seton Hall in 2015 with a Bachelor of Science in Sport Management and Finance. While an undergraduate, he served as a manager for the men's basketball team all four years. After graduation, he spent two years as a graduate assistant at Fairleigh Dickinson, where he earned his Master of Arts in Sports Administration, and then one and a half years at FDU as an Athletic Equipment Specialist. Prior to returning to Seton Hall this summer, he spent nearly three years at Fairfield, most recently as the Director of Facility, Game and Equipment Operations. He is currently assisting with all equipment operations for all 14 Pirates sports.

Fabiano graduated from Seton Hall this past May with his bachelor's degree in Marketing and Sport Management. He was a four-year manager for the men's basketball team and also had experience as a marketing and communications intern with the USA Sport Group and experience working with production crews for FOX Sports. He also gained experience in working recreation, serving as a recreation assistant in his hometown of Nutley. He is currently charged with general administration of all recreational programming and operations of the Richie Regan Recreation and Athletic Center.

Davis's position at Seton Hall has been created through a partnership with the McLendon Foundation and the McLendon Minority Leadership Initiative, which strives to provide minorities a jump-start to their careers through practical experiences, opportunities to build their network, and instilling the values of John McLendon: Integrity, Education, Leadership, and Mentorship.

Davis is a former track and field student-athlete at Morehead State, where he graduated with a bachelor's degree in Sport and Fitness Administration/Management, in 2017 and he earned his master's degree at University of Cincinnati in Sports Administration in 2020. He's served in various roles across the industry including time as a youth counselor, academic counselor for Boys Hope Girls Hope of Baltimore, and as a director of basketball operations for Coppin State women's basketball. At Seton Hall, Davis will partner with various members of the Seton Hall community to create and execute programming designed to enhance the student-athlete experience. Some areas of focus will include supporting the H.A.L.L Program and other special projects to build systems for continued growth across the department.
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NIL Deals

I was having a conversation with a buddy this morning and he was saying the NIL deals could lead to a disaster for college athletes who don't save enough for taxes. So I said why don't these collectives make them W2 employees to reduce that risk. He believes you can't do that. Does anyone know?

Phoenix Suns owner Robert Sarver suspended, fined $10 million


Phoenix Suns owner Robert Sarver has been suspended one year and fined $10 million by the NBA as a result of the league's investigation into the franchise.

The NBA announced the punishment Tuesday, saying its investigation found that during his time with the Suns/Mercury organization, Sarver used the N-word at least five times "when recounting the statements of others."

There also were "instances of inequitable conduct toward female employees," the NBA said in its statement, including "sex-related comments" and inappropriate comments on employees' appearances.

The NBA commissioned an investigation after ESPN published a story in November 2021 detailing allegations of racism and misogyny during Sarver's 17 years as owner.

SHU Rugby reunion

I was at the football games all the time. Remember driving to Fordham, Montclair, St Peters at Roosevelt Stadium, Upsala, and more, to support our squad. Tailgates at OTC Field, too. Many of the football players from the late 70's and 80's moonlighted with the rugby team in the spring, of which I am a proud alum and still see many of my brother ruggers regularly. Speak of that, rugby is also having a 50th year reunion during Seton Hall weekend. details below


The group putting this together have been amazing and have put in countless hours to make this happen. If you are a rugby alum hope to see you there.
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