BAC does a decent bracketology

[HallX2]

And is worth the read:

BACATOLOGY: 2/19 NCAA TOURNAMENT ANALYSIS****RUTGERS 1OTH TEAM OUT****

Okay let's get this thing started. Night owls come on in, grab your beverage of choice and some tacos and dive into bacatology. Early birds, see you in the morning. Bring coffee and donuts. Comments and questions are always welcome. Corrections are always helpful especially spelling. Tips are...

rutgers.forums.rivals.com

 

[HallX2]

Is he right that 8 of our wins are Q4?

Never mind. According to the NET it is correct.

 

[Hall91]

been a long time since I read anything from bac2therac but that’s a solid analysis.

 

[bac2therac]

been a long time since I read anything from bac2therac but that’s a solid analysis.

head on over to the Life off the Ship board and you will see more of it.

 

[Hall84]

Very good read

 

[SPK145]

He's been doing it for years and has always been a great read.

 

[halltheway]

I rarely visit their board any longer. When I did, I noticed
he's not a homer, he tells it like it is, he knows his stuff.

 

[Seton75]

head on over to the Life off the Ship board and you will see more of it.

Bac is a good man. Remember him well from my years of posting over there.

 

[VioletPirate]

Is he right that 8 of our wins are Q4?

Never mind. According to the NET it is correct.

According to him, eight Quad 4 wins is a "red flag." But plenty of other teams going to the tournament have eight or more. UConn has nine quad 4 wins!

 

[radecicco]

Agree, excellent analysis.

 

[sami]

According to him, eight Quad 4 wins is a "red flag." But plenty of other teams going to the tournament have eight or more. UConn has nine quad 4 wins!

Doesn’t hurt that they are 9-2 in Q1 and 6-0 in Q2/3.

 

[VioletPirate]

Doesn’t hurt that they are 9-2 in Q1 and 6-0 in Q2/3.

Sure, maybe TCU and Oklahoma (both currently projected to be in the field) are better comps. Also 8-0 in Quad 4 games. (Neither team has many Q1/Q2 wins as Seton Hall btw) The point is I get Q4 losses, but since when do Quad 4 wins get held against a team? Whatever, just keep winning!

 

[jack 1970]

Good analysis of SHU.Need to beat Butler,Nova and DePaul at home to get in.Not realistic to beat UConn and Creighton on the road.

 

[lloyde dobler]

Sure, maybe TCU and Oklahoma (both currently projected to be in the field) are better comps. Also 8-0 in Quad 4 games. (Neither team has many Q1/Q2 wins as Seton Hall btw) The point is I get Q4 losses, but since when do Quad 4 wins get held against a team? Whatever, just keep winning!

Because too many is a bad thing. If you dig deeper non-conference SOS comes into play.

The other continuous hang up on this board is the context of wins within a quadrant. The Connecticut win is clearly a great one for SHU, but in comparing teams and their number of wins within any quadrant, you have to see where those results came within the scale. That’s the job of the committee to dig into, and how ultimately measuring that in comparing teams is a human thing that goes beyond a computer ranking.

 

[batts]

I rarely visit their board any longer. When I did, I noticed
he's not a homer, he tells it like it is, he knows his stuff.

Bac is a good poster on the RU Board. He's fairly objective about SHU unlike a good many of RU fans on their Board.

 

[bigraym]

Not realistic to beat UConn and Creighton on the road.

Now I am not giving out any guarantees, but I got a feeling about the @ Creighton game, that is one where I feel we can bring home another road win! But let's first focus our attention on Butler and grab that 1st home win.

 

[HALL28]

The DePaul wins don't count. Their metrics are that bad. If we scheduled Bethune-Cookman next week, would you count that? No, you wouldn't. They're 1 spot ahead of DePaul in NET.

Need to put 2 more other wins on the board.

 

[BucBloc]

First time reading Bac's analysis. very impressive.
For you NET math folk, how much would things change if the Missouri game was a road win? Enough to matter?
I agree that the USC loss looks way worse than it was. We had them with 5-6 minutes left and couldn't hit the Ocean from the beach. They are really banged up now- then only Bronny was missing.

 

[Halldan1]

The DePaul wins don't count. Their metrics are that bad. If we scheduled Bethune-Cookman next week, would you count that? No, you wouldn't. They're 1 spot ahead of DePaul in NET.

Need to put 2 more other wins on the board.

Kenpom

304 DePaul 3-22 -11.32

319 Bethune Cookman 12-14 -13.33

 

[HallX2]

According to him, eight Quad 4 wins is a "red flag." But plenty of other teams going to the tournament have eight or more. UConn has nine quad 4 wins!

Nothing wrong with beating lesser teams and you’re right plenty of others have, but I think the issue is of our 17 wins, 8 are Q4. We continue to be penalized in the metrics by our OOC.

 

[Halldan1]

This isn't helping anyone in the conference

194

Georgetown

8-17

-2.51

304

DePaul

3-22

-11.32

 

[Seton75]

Bac is a good poster on the RU Board. He's fairly objective about SHU unlike a good many of RU fans on their Board...

I will pay far more attn to Bacatology that to RutgersAlogy!

 

[Seton75]

Lets be honest, how far down the tunnel do we have to go till we start comparing the worst teams that a team has played and the margin in order to decide who is better?

Can you imagine hearing that the seeding committee seeded Purdue # 1 cause the 5 worst teams on their schedule (average NET or 250) were better than the worst teams on Uconn's schedule (average 275). Comical.

 

[Merge]

head on over to the Life off the Ship board and you will see more of it.

Well, your bracket analysis is very well done at least. I check in on the RU board this time of year every year to read it.

 

[sami]

Sure, maybe TCU and Oklahoma (both currently projected to be in the field) are better comps. Also 8-0 in Quad 4 games. (Neither team has many Q1/Q2 wins as Seton Hall btw) The point is I get Q4 losses, but since when do Quad 4 wins get held against a team? Whatever, just keep winning!

Exactly. I’m not overly concerned with the number of Q4 wins. Would like to see Rutgers stretch to Q2 and us pick up 3 wins.

 

[Merge]

Exactly. I’m not overly concerned with the number of Q4 wins. Would like to see Rutgers stretch to Q2 and us pick up 3 wins.

Definitely rooting for RU to win a few more. Solid defensive team but man their offense is bad.

 

[Halldan1]

Conference-only offense

14 Rutgers

Conference-only defense

1 Rutgers

 

[HallX2]

Conference-only offense

14 Rutgers

Conference-only defense

1 Rutgers

They need a better mix