North Carolina
- By Merge
- Life Off the Ship
- 62 Replies
I don't watch the state polls numbers as closely as many. Trump lost the last election because many independent and women voters that supported him the first time, decided they didn't want to vote for him again. A few of those voters may come back because of the economy/border issues, but he's crapped the bed on every opportunity to get some of those folks back. Hillary lost the first election to Trump because so many people hated Hillary, not necessarily because Trump was so special. He certainly developed a loyal following but many people hated her and he gained those votes. Now I believe many more hate Trump. He's not getting many of the women or independents back and lots of folks hate him and more everyday after his scandals and the crazy stuff he continues to say. JD Vance isn't going to move the needle either but he's not helping Trump at all. The press is relentless too and Trump keeps giving them silly stuff to serve on a silver platter. I see Trump losing with a few of those states flipping to the Dems. Not a scientific approach, but its what I am feeling today.
Harris is a worse candidate than Hillary, but doesn’t have the same level of hatred against her.
If the election were held today, I think Harris wins by a nose keeping PA but loses Georgia and Arizona.
Things could still swing a bit but seems like there are very few undecided voters at this point.