Working with banks and bank regulators, evaluating loans on properties in NY, I am fairly confident I am using the right metric when discussing what is happening in NYC and if it is desirable or not.
Posted the same thing two years ago.
The data guides my view here. If that data changed, my view would change.
If rents fall in NYC, that means the people leaving can not be easily replaced and I would agree the city is in trouble. As it stands, it's just not.
It's always fun to revisit these topics though, looking this up reminded me of when 85 objected to the idea of NYC tourism getting back to normal after pandemic lows, and yet 2024 tourism was the 2nd highest in NYC ever. Has a hard time admitting that he got something wrong though.