Xavier & Villanova

[Piratz]

Our next two games this week are at home and against these two BE teams fighting for the NCAAT Bubble. Either getting in?

Xavier (17-10, 9-7) = NET 52, 1-9 Q1, 5-1 Q2, 11-0 Q3-4
Villanova (16-12, 9-8) = NET 50, 2-6 Q1, 4-3 Q2, 10-3 Q3-4 with 1 Q4 loss.

Per KP, Xavier played the 205th-ranked non-conf schedule and beat Wake Forest (NET 60), and South Carolina (NET 94). Nova played the 337th-ranked non-con schedule and beat Cincinnati (NET 46).

LMAO... We have the better non-conference win (VCU, NET 31). At NET 212, Seton Hall could tank either. Let's get them. Xavier has beaten us like a drum often and Villanova has been in our way from many things over the years.

 

[shu67]

Nice to think we can win these games but as I see it we have close to zero chance. There is just not enough in our resume to think we can bring an "A" game and these teams will fold. Our record pretty much sums up the facts.

 

[Piratz]

Agreed. Oh how far we’ve fallen.

 

[Seton75]

we beat uconn. i think we can beat nova at home. i think we can beat x too. both are upsets if we do of course. didnt think we hada chance vs uconn. heres hoping

 

[TheHall87]

Our next two games this week are at home and against these two BE teams fighting for the NCAAT Bubble. Either getting in?

Xavier (17-10, 9-7) = NET 52, 1-9 Q1, 5-1 Q2, 11-0 Q3-4
Villanova (16-12, 9-8) = NET 50, 2-6 Q1, 4-3 Q2, 10-3 Q3-4 with 1 Q4 loss.

Per KP, Xavier played the 205th-ranked non-conf schedule and beat Wake Forest (NET 60), and South Carolina (NET 94). Nova played the 337th-ranked non-con schedule and beat Cincinnati (NET 46).

LMAO... We have the better non-conference win (VCU, NET 31). At NET 212, Seton Hall could tank either. Let's get them. Xavier has beaten us like a drum often and Villanova has been in our way from many things over the years.

X is in better shape but probably needs to win out and win a game at MSG (they finish with Creighton, @Butler and Providence). As of now they are the fifth team out in ESPN's bracket.

Villanova already has its resume tanking loss to Columbia (who is 1-10 in the Ivy) and has a loss to a 13-14 Virginia team as well. They finish with Butler and at Georgetown and realistically might need to win the BET to have any shot at a bid.

 

[CaptBob]

Dixon will eat us alive--

 

[hallstorm]

Dixon will eat us alive--

Wasn’t McNeely supposed to last Saturday?

 

[Hall Is Life]

Wasn’t McNeely supposed to last Saturday?

Dropped 25 against us in December. Proven track record. Dixon will eat us alive…again.

 

[ivyhillparkk1963]

Dixon will eat us alive--

Dixon has become almost a pure perimeter player. You beat him by forcing him to play defense in the paint. Make him move his feet. That's my approach

 

[Piratz]

HUGE win by Xavier routing Creighton at home. At 19-10, 11-7, Xavier is now #49 in the NET, but still just 1-9 against Q1, although 6-1 Q2 and zero Q3/4 losses.

 

[shupat08]

Dixon has become almost a pure perimeter player. You beat him by forcing him to play defense in the paint. Make him move his feet. That's my approach

If he wants a chance to play in the NBA he needs to become a perimeter oriented player.

 

[dehere23]

HUGE win by Xavier routing Creighton at home. At 19-10, 11-7, Xavier is now #49 in the NET, but still just 1-9 against Q1, although 6-1 Q2 and zero Q3/4 losses.

They need to win out and I think do real damage in the BET. Otherwise they are going to face the fate of us and SJU last year and be on constant bubble stealer watch.

 

[TheHall87]

HUGE win by Xavier routing Creighton at home. At 19-10, 11-7, Xavier is now #49 in the NET, but still just 1-9 against Q1, although 6-1 Q2 and zero Q3/4 losses.

They need to win out and I think do real damage in the BET. Otherwise they are going to face the fate of us and SJU last year and be on constant bubble stealer watch.

If X wins out and gets to Friday at MSG, they'll be 22-11 with 14 BE wins, a top 50 NET and no bad losses (worse loss by NET is at No. 85 Georgetown. The MSG win would be a second Q1. They will have two top 100 NET OOC wins (Wake Forest and South Carolina) and their current SOS is 58.

In that scenario, they would probably be in a better position than we were last year.

 

[Piratz]

Xavier is at Butler on Wednesday and home to Providence on Saturday. They should finish 21-10, 13-7. But neither game will help them. What a strange resume. Only 1 Q1 win, same as Seton Hall! 🫡

Villanova is at Georgetown on Tuesday. They're going to finish 19-12, 12-8. They only have 2 Q1 wins then a slew of bad losses.

 

[dehere23]

If X wins out and gets to Friday at MSG, they'll be 22-11 with 14 BE wins, a top 50 NET and no bad losses (worse loss by NET is at No. 85 Georgetown. The MSG win would be a second Q1. They will have two top 100 NET OOC wins (Wake Forest and South Carolina) and their current SOS is 58.

In that scenario, they would probably be in a better position than we were last year.

Wonder where they are at KPI in that scenario? I recall that was the metric the committee relied on heavily last year or so they said.

I don’t recall our NET at year end, but our resume was based on the BE wins including some of the good to great ones we had.

SJU last year I believe had an excellent NET and Kenpom which is why everyone was surprised they were left out. Seemed the committee didn’t weigh those metrics so heavily.

I’d love X to make it.

 

[Piratz]

Obviously every year is different and maybe this Bubble is weaker than last year comparatively, but last year our NET was #67 and we had 5 Q1 wins. We were 20-12, 13-7, but also a total blackhole in the non-conference; I think Monmouth was our best win 🤣. They did bring that up about us.

But then you also had the 5 conference tournament upsets during Championship Week that knocked us to 2nd-out.

 

[TheHall87]

Obviously every year is different and maybe this Bubble is weaker than last year comparatively, but last year our NET was #67 and we had 5 Q1 wins. We were 20-12, 13-7, but also a total blackhole in the non-conference; I think Monmouth was our best win 🤣. They did bring that up about us.

But then you also had the 5 conference tournament upsets during Championship Week that knocked us to 2nd-out.

Missouri was our best OOC win last year. Their NET was in the high 150s. 8-24 and winless after January 1st.