North Carolina

[Robot_Man]

NC's lieutenant governor and Republican nominee for governor was already under a lot of fire and losing to his opponent, but this is quite something.



Can't imagine this will make it easier for Trump to win North Carolina.

 

[Merge]

Yeesh... They need to get him off the ballot.

 

[Robot_Man]

Yeesh... They need to get him off the ballot.

Funny you should mention that - the deadline is today.

 

[SHUHoopsFan]

Harris going to win NC big time once the college students start playing Dana Bash's Kamala Harris drinking game.

 

[Robot_Man]

There's more:



"An adviser to Robinson, granted anonymity to speak freely, confirmed to POLITICO that the email address in question belongs to Robinson. A spokesperson for Robinson said he had not made an account on Ashley Madison." ¯⁠\⁠_⁠(⁠ツ⁠)⁠_⁠/⁠¯

 

[NYShoreGuy]

 

[SHUSA]

whats the thought process that this will effect trump? i dont see it.

 

[Merge]

whats the thought process that this will effect trump? i dont see it.

Just gives the Harris campaign ammunition against the "Trump / Robinson" ticket.
Trump will do everything he can to distance himself from Robinson and Harris will do everything she can to connect them.

Trump won NC by about 160k in 2016, and 75k in 2020.
If voters are passionate for Trump, they are going to show up anyway. If they are lukewarm on Trump and wanted a republican governor, maybe they still show up and hold their nose for Trump. If they're lukewarm on Trump and now turned off by Robinson, maybe they don't show up.

Polling shows the state as very close right now so it might come down to which party can get the most turnout.

 

[HALL85]

As it stands today, Trump is going to lose the election, and probably by a wide margin of electoral votes.

Living in a very purple county here in PA, that usually dictates the winner. It’s Harris and not even close.

Still a month and a half for a surprise, but probably not likely at this point.

 

[NYShoreGuy]

Just gives the Harris campaign ammunition against the "Trump / Robinson" ticket.
Trump will do everything he can to distance himself from Robinson and Harris will do everything she can to connect them.

Trump won NC by about 160k in 2016, and 75k in 2020.
If voters are passionate for Trump, they are going to show up anyway. If they are lukewarm on Trump and wanted a republican governor, maybe they still show up and hold their nose for Trump. If they're lukewarm on Trump and now turned off by Robinson, maybe they don't show up.

Polling shows the state as very close right now so it might come down to which party can get the most turnout.

Like robinson not attending saturday rally

 

[SPK145]

As it stands today, Trump is going to lose the election, and probably by a wide margin of electoral votes.

I disagree with this greatly, you are too influenced by the bias media. As of right now, I see Trump winning 281-257 in electoral votes.

PA is interesting, Trump has beaten the polls by 6-7 points in both 2016 and 2020. If that holds...........

 

[HALL85]

I disagree with this greatly, you are too influenced by the bias media. As of right now, I see Trump winning 281-257 in electoral votes.

PA is interesting, Trump has beaten the polls by 6-7 points in both 2016 and 2020. If that holds...........

Steve, I don’t listen to the media at all on this. It’s just observations from living in this county and how it differs from 2016 and 2020. Not scientific at all but back in 2016, it felt (and I posted) that Trump was going to win here, despite what the media was saying.

 

[SHUHoopsFan]

PA is interesting, Trump has beaten the polls by 6-7 points in both 2016 and 2020. If that holds...........

Silent Trump vote is real. Maybe it's because of living in NJ, I know of a few people who lost friends because they support Trump. I don't know of any stories where people lose friends for supporting a democrat. So plenty of people have just decided to say nothing to avoid the ridiculousness of losing friends over politicians who aren't going to show up if you're in real need of help.

 

[SHUSA]

Just gives the Harris campaign ammunition against the "Trump / Robinson" ticket.
Trump will do everything he can to distance himself from Robinson and Harris will do everything she can to connect them.

Trump won NC by about 160k in 2016, and 75k in 2020.
If voters are passionate for Trump, they are going to show up anyway. If they are lukewarm on Trump and wanted a republican governor, maybe they still show up and hold their nose for Trump. If they're lukewarm on Trump and now turned off by Robinson, maybe they don't show up.

Polling shows the state as very close right now so it might come down to which party can get the most turnout.

who sees it as a Trump/Robinson ticket. you can vote for trump and against robinson. idk i just dont see it

 

[Merge]

I disagree with this greatly, you are too influenced by the bias media. As of right now, I see Trump winning 281-257 in electoral votes.

PA is interesting, Trump has beaten the polls by 6-7 points in both 2016 and 2020. If that holds...........

The polls in PA were wrong outside of the last week or so, but while the earlier ones were low on Trump, they had Biden correct.
Harris is polling right around where Biden was at this time in 2020. Biggest difference now is that there are no 3rd parties and a lot less undecided voters now. I wouldn't bet on a 6pt swing towards Trump from here but 1-2 is definitely possible and enough to win the state for him.

Looks like you have PA, AZ and GA flipping to Trump this cycle? Not unreasonable at all if the election were today.

 

[Merge]

who sees it as a Trump/Robinson ticket. you can vote for trump and against robinson. idk i just dont see it

Very few - but Dems will be pushing that hard.
Half the voters will be below average intelligence.... and some of them will be persuaded by political messaging. Harris campaign would need to convince around 2% of people who voted for Trump last time to sit this one out to win. Not saying that's easy but a scandal ridden candidate for Governor on the R side doesn't hurt.

 

[SHUSA]

Very few - but Dems will be pushing that hard.
Half the voters will be below average intelligence.... and some of them will be persuaded by political messaging. Harris campaign would need to convince around 2% of people who voted for Trump last time to sit this one out to win. Not saying that's easy but a scandal ridden candidate for Governor on the R side doesn't hurt.

seems like all the more reason to show up to vote robinson out.