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Election Prediction

Rockaway

Gold Member
Sep 12, 2024
41
17
8
Ok I will start it and anyone who wants to predict have at it.Trump 281 Harris 257 you heard it here.
 
Ok I will start it and anyone who wants to predict have at it.Trump 281 Harris 257 you heard it here.
No you didn't, I posted this exact prediction 6 weeks ago. It will be close though in all battleground states and anything can happen.

 
It's just so close, I've feel less confident in my guess than any previous year.

I have it 270-268. Our only difference is PA.

Could swing wildly in either direction if the gender gap increases or decreases from 2020.
 
I’m not going to wager a guess because it would be a complete guess. Six weeks ago I posted that Harris was going to win based on polls, feel and talking to some politicians privately. I thought it would take a surprise to turn it around. No surprise but her strategy is arguably worse than HRC’s in 2016. If she loses, she is the Joe Piscarcek of politics. Trump has the momentum and is winning the press cycle despite their attempts to get her elected.

Agree with Merge that gender will play a role, but the most recent attempts to shame black men (Obama’s), and play on male/female relationships (Roberts and Clooney) is pretty sad and reeks of desperation.

Living in a purple city in a purple county in a purple state…my wife and my vote will make about as big a difference as it ever will.
 
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