Among other things, race? I will say that on the campaign trail, she was classy and I'm hopeful that the President-elect will govern in that way, however unlikely that is to happen. Harris must have wanted to kill Biden for the "garbage" comment; it may end up being her "basket of deplorables," even though she didn't say it.
box, seriously, reflect on this post now given the significant electoral and popular vote win by Trump. and he also picked up support from virtually every demographic compared to 2016 and 2020.I know folks like to bicker back and forth here and all. And differ on matters of policy.
But I also know there are a lot of conservatives, republicans, and self-identified independents who presumably love the Constitution, representative democracy, and the rule of law. And surely none of them would vote for a demonstrated enemy of all those things. Because that would be debasing and shameful.
Cool.
Her biggest problem was not being able to think on her feet, she was clearly in over her head. I agree that comment and those ads changed the election. Trumps ad agency hit a home run and they rode that right to the presidency. They waited knowing she would make mistakes and then capitalized on them. What would you do differently? Nothing. Brilliant response for someone running to be President. Pretty basic question. She’s going to wake up in the middle of the night for years to come hearing herself say nothing. Think we have all been there before, wishing we said something differently. Kind of thing that drives people to drink.As more data comes out, single woman votes for Harris; married woman to Trump, which actually makes sense as a wife/mother is likely to put more weight in economy, immigration and crime.
Another stat on NN; Democrats voting for Harris overwhelming (over 80%) noted reproductive rights and democracy as two most important factors. Republicans noted immigration and economy….also over 80%.
Ironic (and hilarious) that the single most self inflicted wound for Harris was from her interview on The View about her answer to what she would do differently.
What happened to climate change being an existential threat?
There's over 100 things that did her in. It's mind boggling that there are pundits out there who say she ran a flawless campaign.Her response to Jesus Is Lord also did her in.
Which essentially was the same playbook for Dems in 2016, 2020 and 2024. Agree that HRC and Harris were terrible candidates. Biden was mediocre. Either get better candidates or have a better strategy.It's not a surprising result at all. Harris was a poor candidate and ran a poor campaign. Trump's a long way from a good candidate, but he didn't have to be good. He just had to be better than her.
Harris' whole campaign was banking on people simply voting "against Trump" and she offered nothing to give people a reason to vote "for her." Reality is you're never going to win that way.
Which essentially was the same playbook for Dems in 2016, 2020 and 2024. Agree that HRC and Harris were terrible candidates. Biden was mediocre. Either get better candidates or have a better strategy.
What I want to know more than anything is how that when it's all said and done the democrats will probably end up losing 10 million votes from 2020 to 2024. Trump's total numbers are virtually the same as 2020. Democratic votes that showed up in 2020 just didn't show up in 2024. Why? Trump will tell us because they rigged it in 2020, but what's the real answer?Which essentially was the same playbook for Dems in 2016, 2020 and 2024. Agree that HRC and Harris were terrible candidates. Biden was mediocre. Either get better candidates or have a better strategy.
I think the short answer is from paid the price for the pandemic in 2020. If that never happened, he would’ve won a second term.What I want to know more than anything is how that when it's all said and done the democrats will probably end up losing 10 million votes from 2020 to 2024. Trump's total numbers are virtually the same as 2020. Democratic votes that showed up in 2020 just didn't show up in 2024. Why? Trump will tell us because they rigged it in 2020, but what's the real answer?
I think it's because Democrats voters weren't particularly motivated to vote for Harris. Biden was popular among Democrats from his time as Obama's VP so there were a lot of people who actually wanted him to be president instead of just "not Trump." Those people weren't nearly as excited about Harris so a lot of them just didn't vote.What I want to know more than anything is how that when it's all said and done the democrats will probably end up losing 10 million votes from 2020 to 2024. Trump's total numbers are virtually the same as 2020. Democratic votes that showed up in 2020 just didn't show up in 2024. Why? Trump will tell us because they rigged it in 2020, but what's the real answer?
I find it just sad we lost 10 million voters no matter who they would have voted for.I think it's because Democrats voters weren't particularly motivated to vote for Harris. Biden was popular among Democrats from his time as Obama's VP so there were a lot of people who actually wanted him to be president instead of just "not Trump." Those people weren't nearly as excited about Harris so a lot of them just didn't vote.
Effectively Biden got 2 groups of voters - the pro-Biden crowd and the anti-Trump crowd. Harris failed to convince the pro-Biden crowd so she only won the anti-Trump vote.
Yes but I think the context varied a bit. In 2016 I think the Hillary campaign was just arrogant and didn't consider Trump a legitimate threat until it was clear on election night that she wasn't going to win. In 2020 the country was in turmoil from covid, democrats were deeply unhappy with Trump and his covid response in particular, and Biden was very popular from his time as Obama's VP. In 2024, they just assumed that continued dissatisfaction with Trump would be enough. I think there were some democrats that would've had a chance to beat him, but Harris was never realistically going to be one of them.Which essentially was the same playbook for Dems in 2016, 2020 and 2024. Agree that HRC and Harris were terrible candidates. Biden was mediocre. Either get better candidates or have a better strategy.
Harris was a horrible VP choice so the thought that she would be anything but the same as a Presidential candidate is laughable. The MSM gave her a wide open runway and did their best to get her launched (and she had record money to spend). A DEI candidate…period.Yes but I think the context varied a bit. In 2016 I think the Hillary campaign was just arrogant and didn't consider Trump a legitimate threat until it was clear on election night that she wasn't going to win. In 2020 the country was in turmoil from covid, democrats were deeply unhappy with Trump and his covid response in particular, and Biden was very popular from his time as Obama's VP. In 2024, they just assumed that continued dissatisfaction with Trump would be enough. I think there were some democrats that would've had a chance to beat him, but Harris was never realistically going to be one of them.
I don't disagree, but I also get it. Even personally, it was very easy to look at the 2 options (let's be realistic, there's only 2) and think neither of these clowns deserve my vote. I kept joking that I'd rather write in Gritty than vote for either of them and what would my 1 vote matter if I really did - until 10 million more people think similarly.I find it just sad we lost 10 million voters no matter who they would have voted for.
Maybe DEI, but I tend to think they overestimated the country's dislike of Trump and thought they'd be able to sneak in a more liberal candidate than they would've otherwise gone for. For example in 16 and 20 they knew Bernie was too liberal to win. They got greedy this time. And it didn't help that even many of their own party weren't thrilled with the later half of the Biden/Harris administration so she wasn't overwhelmingly popular either.Harris was a horrible VP choice so the thought that she would be anything but the same as a Presidential candidate is laughable. The MSM gave her a wide open runway and did their best to get her launched (and she had record money to spend). A DEI candidate…period.
Oh, and I missed one piece. They picked a candidate that was too liberal for independents and Republicans who dislike Trump to vote for. A more centrist Democrat would've had a very good chance to win, IMO.I think it's because Democrats voters weren't particularly motivated to vote for Harris. Biden was popular among Democrats from his time as Obama's VP so there were a lot of people who actually wanted him to be president instead of just "not Trump." Those people weren't nearly as excited about Harris so a lot of them just didn't vote.
Effectively Biden got 2 groups of voters - the pro-Biden crowd and the anti-Trump crowd. Harris failed to convince the pro-Biden crowd so she only won the anti-Trump vote.
VP candidates typically don’t matter, and in 2020 the optics of Harris probably helped a bit. IF he followed through on his promise to be a transitional President then Harris never would have made it through a primary…problem solved. The minute he decided to run the second term the risk became a potential reality. They were boxed in after his dementia meltdown and were left with a replacement that was unqualified.Maybe DEI, but I tend to think they overestimated the country's dislike of Trump and thought they'd be able to sneak in a more liberal candidate than they would've otherwise gone for. For example in 16 and 20 they knew Bernie was too liberal to win. They got greedy this time. And it didn't help that even many of their own party weren't thrilled with the later half of the Biden/Harris administration so she wasn't overwhelmingly popular either.
It is not that a pandemic happened it is that he handled it with no empathy. How he handled it dissuaded fickle voters. I actually agree he most likely would have been elected again and had he handled it kinder he would have.I think the short answer is from paid the price for the pandemic in 2020. If that never happened, he would’ve won a second term
I feel a shapiro or beshear wouldWes Moore should be the face of the democrats moving forward with a Very moderate VP pick. Would need to be an experienced DC senator/congressman similar to the profile of a Joe Manchin (if the is exists moving forward- obviously not Joe as he’s retired)
Outside of that with a successful Trump term- Mayor Pete or Newsome won’t move the needle against a Vance/Desantis lineup
What did the Obama voter do?I think it's because Democrats voters weren't particularly motivated to vote for Harris. Biden was popular among Democrats from his time as Obama's VP so there were a lot of people who actually wanted him to be president instead of just "not Trump." Those people weren't nearly as excited about Harris so a lot of them just didn't vote.
Effectively Biden got 2 groups of voters - the pro-Biden crowd and the anti-Trump crowd. Harris failed to convince the pro-Biden crowd so she only won the anti-Trump vote.
Both could be far better options than the last 2 campaigns, but I expect the trend of “person of color” to continue in the democrats agendaI feel a shapiro or beshear would
That's silly. She's going to end up with more votes than Obama in both elections he had. She's got 68 million votes with only 55% of California reported. Obama never received 70 million.Not vote
Appreciate the answer but I really can’t find your point in there. Clearly there were Democrats that voted for Trump when looking at the results.My OP wasn't about the Democrats. Didn't even mention them. It was about Trump. I would have liked it to be that Trump being who he is and doing what he has done (and says he intends to do) would be disqualifying for all but the most-fringe voters. In the good old America for which boomers+- pine, it would have been. That America would pick anyone else. By definition, it would have, because Trump wouldn't have been an option to be picked. But today, he wins convincingly. I'll agree with the regressive nostalgics that that other America, if it ever existed, does not exist now. Not by a long shot. I'm deeply disappointed. But I'm not surprised.
Apologies, misread the post I replied to, I thought he was asking again about Biden voters again. I'd guess she got a lot of the Obama voters but not all. Probably held most of the partisan ones just by being registered as a Democrat, but they don't seem to have a ton in common. And I'd guess that she struggled with independent voters who went Obama's way. All just guessing though.That's silly. She's going to end up with more votes than Obama in both elections he had. She's got 68 million votes with only 55% of California reported. Obama never received 70 million.
Wouldn't that apply to Harris as well, though?My OP wasn't about the Democrats. Didn't even mention them. It was about Trump. I would have liked it to be that Trump being who he is and doing what he has done (and says he intends to do) would be disqualifying for all but the most-fringe voters. In the good old America for which boomers+- pine, it would have been. That America would pick anyone else. By definition, it would have, because Trump wouldn't have been an option to be picked. But today, he wins convincingly. I'll agree with the regressive nostalgics that that other America, if it ever existed, does not exist now. Not by a long shot. I'm deeply disappointed. But I'm not surprised.
Well, if you mean people wouldn't have voted for a woman or an African American back then, I suppose it would. But if you mean they wouldn't vote for someone who incessantly lies about voter fraud, sought to overturn our election to hold onto power, is a felon, sexually assaulted people, talks about using the justice department to go after political enemies, has used his office to personally enrich himself and his family to the tune of billions of dollars, admires and aspires to be a dictator, racistly others minorities, etc, etc, it would not.Wouldn't that apply to Harris as well, though?
Call me a conspiracy theorist but I think voter fraud in 2020 is more of a question now to me than it was 4 years ago. About 135 million voters in 2016, magically the only year of mail in ballots 2020 there's almost 160 million, then 4 years later when you can vote in person we're back down to 145 million. Something isn't smelling quite right.Well, if you mean people wouldn't have voted for a woman or an African American back then, I suppose it would. But if you mean they wouldn't vote for someone who incessantly lies about voter fraud, sought to overturn our election to hold onto power, is a felon, sexually assaulted people, talks about using the justice department to go after political enemies, has used his office to personally enrich himself and his family to the tune of billions of dollars, admires and aspires to be a dictator, racistly others minorities, etc, etc, it would not.