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Bubble watch

3/2 results (bubble) *nearing lock
Houston 87 *Oklahoma 85
Purdue 80 *Mich St 74
Arizona 103 (Oregon) 83
Duke 73 (Virginity) 48
Auburn 78 *Miss St 63
*Gonzaga 70 St Mary’s 57
(So Florida) 76 Charlotte 61
*Florida Atlantic 79 Tulane 73
(Villanova) 71 (Providence) 60
*Texas 81 Oklahoma State 65
*Colorado St 70 Wyoming 62
(McNeese) 83 Nicholls 62
Va Tech 87 (Wake) 76
(Iowa) 87 *Northwestern 80
(Pitt) 90 BC 65
(A&M) 70 Georgia 56
(Cincinnati) 74 (Kansas St) 72
(Princeton) 74 Cornell 72
*Boise State 89 (New Mexico) 79
(Utah) 88 California 59
BYU 87 *TCU 75
(Grand Canyon) 80 SFA 58

3/3 bubble games
(Seton Hall) @ UCONN
UAB @ Memphis
Rutgers @ *Nebraska
Stanford @ (Colorado)
 
3/3 results (bubble) *nearing lock
UCONN 91 (Seton Hall) 61
(Indiana State) 89 Murray St 77
(Memphis) 106 UAB 87
*Nebraska 67 Rutgers 56
(Colorado) 81 Stanford 71

3/4 bubble games
Houston Christian @ (McNeese)
*Texas @ Baylor
 
3/4 results
Baylor 93 *Texas 85
(McNeese) 87 Houston Christian 69

3/5 bubble games
Tulane @ (So Florida)
(Syracuse) @ Clemson
(Providence) @ Georgetown
(Cincinnati) @ Oklahoma
(Kansas St) @ Kansas
Georgia Tech @ (Wake)
FSU @ (Pitt)
(St John’s) @ DePaul
 
Wake loses at home to 13-16 Georgia Tech. Their third straight loss to bad teams. That should just about pop their bubble.

Ole Miss also lost again, along with Kansas State, Syracuse, and Cincinnati. A couple of those are fringe at best but still good results. Bottom line: Seton Hall is in with a win tomorrow night. It's that simple.
 
Ole Miss also lost again, along with Kansas State, Syracuse, and Cincinnati. A couple of those are fringe at best but still good results. Bottom line: Seton Hall is in with a win tomorrow night. It's that simple.
Gotta beat DePaul as well. Can’t forget that! We need a win on Wednesday AND Saturday! Crap the bed with either and we are screwed.
 
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Gotta beat DePaul as well. Can’t forget that! We need a win on Wednesday AND Saturday! Crap the bed with either and we are screwed.
Depaul is the worst Big East team I've ever seen. Worse than the winless Gtwon team. Worse than early Miami, for those who were fans back then. St. John's dropped 104 points on them tonight, and at one point was up like 50 points in the game. Pitino played his bench guys more than his starters.

We obliterated Depaul at their place and will obliterate them on Saturday. Our bench should be getting double-digits minutes in that one.
 
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3/5 results
Kansas 90 (Kansas State) 68
(So Florida) 85 Tulane 72
Clemson 90 (Syracuse) 75
(Providence) 71 Georgetown 58
Oklahoma 74 (Cincinnati) 71
Georgia Tech 70 (Wake) 69
(Pitt) 88 FSU 73
(St John’s) 104 DePaul 77

3/6 bubble games
(Villanova) @ (Seton Hall)!
(Florida Atlantic) @ No Texas
McNeese) @ New Orleans
Miss St @ (A&M)
Fresno State @ (New Mexico)
 
Gotta beat DePaul as well. Can’t forget that! We need a win on Wednesday AND Saturday! Crap the bed with either and we are screwed.

DePaul is a sure thing. The worst team in the history of the Big East. Seton Hall actually could just "show up" and win that one.
 
DePaul is a sure thing. The worst team in the history of the Big East. Seton Hall actually could just "show up" and win that one.
Non-bubble related, but on the topic of the Big East, I couldn’t sleep last night and caught Cooley’s press conference yesterday after the second Prov/Gtown game. It was basically a recruiting pitch for Devin Carter. Found it amusing in this day of free agency we live in.
 
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Non-bubble related, but on the topic of the Big East, I couldn’t sleep last night and caught Cooley’s press conference yesterday after the second Prov/Gtown game. It was basically a recruiting pitch for Devin Carter. Found it amusing in this day of free agency we live in.

Wouldn't be surprised if he goes after Carter and Hopkins. Bring the old band back together.
 
3/6 results
(Seton Hall) 66 (Villanova) 56
(Fla Athletic) 80 No Texas 76
(McNeese) 81 New Orleans 57
(A&M) 75 (Miss St) 69
(New Mexico) 79 Fresno State 58

3/7 bubble games
(Colorado) @ (Oregon)
(Utah) @ Oregon State
 
3/7 results
(Colorado) 79 (Oregon) 75
Oregon State 92 (Utah) 85

3/8 bubble games
Missouri State @ (Indiana State)
Evansville @ (Drake)
 
3/8 results
(Indiana State) 75 Missouri State 59
(Drake) 79 Evansville 58

3/9 bubble games
DePaul @ (Seton Hall)
(Memphis) @ (Fla Atlantic)
Georgetown @ (St John’s)
Iowa State @ (Kansas State)
(Oklahoma) @ Texas
(A&M) @ (Ole Miss)
Creighton @ (Villanova)
So Carolina @ (Miss St)
(So Florida) @ Tulsa
No Iowa @ (Indiana State)
(Colorado State) @ Air Force
(Colorado) @ Oregon State
UCF @ (TCU)
Bradley @ (Drake)
Clemson @ (Wake)
(Princeton) @ Penn
(Utah) @ Oregon
NC State @ (Pitt)
UConn @ (Providence)
Georgia Tech @ (Virginia)
(Grand Canyon) @ Cal Baptist
(New Mexico) @ Utah State
Marshall @ (James Madison)
Minnesota @ (Northwestern)
 
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Kansas State may have given themselves new life by upsetting number six Iowa State. Still probably have to win a game or two in their conference tournament.
 
This hurts nova and providence
KSU plays in the best league and no doubt has some really good wins I'm sure (no clue on the resume or metrics), but at 8-10 in league play I have to think they have some work to do.
 
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KSU plays in the best league and no doubt has some really good wins I'm sure (no clue on the resume or metrics), but at 8-10 in league play I have to think they have some work to do.
Certainly have some work to do. But this win leaves the door open. A loss today would’ve pushed them out. They’ll have that opportunity in the b12 tournament

Lunardi gives a nice visual of where things stand:
 
The computer likes SJU over SHU because they are a better team. I know that is not what people want to hear, but if Seton Hall and St. John's played tomorrow on a neutral court St. John's would be favored. If anyone thinks that is incorrect, go ahead and bet against the sportsbooks. See how that works out for you.

Now, that does not mean (nor should it mean) that St. John's had a better season than Seton Hall. Nor does it mean that St. John's deserves to be in the NCAA tournament over Seton Hall. We have a better resume, and have had a better season, than St. Johns.

It amazes me that people are still confused by this.
That hasn’t really played out on the court being we’ve swept them.
 
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Not sure how this is even possible. FAU who came in second in AAC behind USF is projected as a 7 or 8 seed yet they have seton hall as a play in and USF who won the conference as not in at this moment. They are 16-2 in conference. This is everything that is wrong with the metrics and the absolute garbage NET. Throw iT OUT!!!
 
Not sure how this is even possible. FAU who came in second in AAC behind USF is projected as a 7 or 8 seed yet they have seton hall as a play in and USF who won the conference as not in at this moment. They are 16-2 in conference. This is everything that is wrong with the metrics and the absolute garbage NET. Throw iT OUT!!!
Because USF has 17 of their 23 wins vs quads 3/4 opponents. They have also suffered two quad 4 losses and yesterday’s set back to Tulsa was a quad 3 loss.
 
3/9 results
((Seton Hall) 86 DePaul 62
UConn 74 (Providence) 60
(Kansas State) 65 Iowa State 58
Creighton 69 (Villanova) 67
So Carolina 93 (Miss State) 89
Utah State 87 (New Mexico) 85
Tulsa 76 (So Florida) 70
(Fla Atlantic) 92 (Memphis) 84
(St John’s) 86 Georgetown 78
Texas 94 (Oklahoma) 80
(Cincinnati) 92 WVU 56
(A&M) 86 (Ole Miss) 60
(Indiana State) 94 No Iowa 72
(Colorado) 74 Oregon State 57
UCF 79 (TCU) 77
(Drake) 72 Bradley 67
(Wake) 81 Clemson 76
(Princeton ) 105 Penn 83
(Oregon) 66 (Utah) 65
(Pitt) 81 NC State 73
(Virginia) 72 Georgia Tech 57
(Grand Canyon) 68 Cal Baptist 48
(James Madison) 81 Marshall 64
(Northwestern) 90 Minnesota 66

3/10 bubble games
(Nebraska) @ Michigan
(Drake) vs (Indiana State)
(Michigan St) @ Indiana
Illinois @ Iowa
Texas State @ (James Madison)
 
Bubble per Wachtel. Four teams will get in out of the 13 in the bubble. Will be interesting who gets left out?

 
Bubble per Wachtel. Four teams will get in out of the 13 in the bubble. Will be interesting who gets left out?

And if you look at all those resumes, metrics included.

Seton Hall should be above those teams regardless what happens in conference tournament play unless they win multiple games.

If the field doesn’t get a bunch of bid stealers, it’s looking more likely the Hall has a chance to avoid Dayton.

Beat SJU at the BET and that would remove all doubt.
 
Bubble per Wachtel. Four teams will get in out of the 13 in the bubble. Will be interesting who gets left out?

After looking at their team sheets I have a hard time seeing Indiana State and James Madison getting at-large bids. ISU has 22 of 27 wins in Q3 and Q4 while 27 of JMU's 28 wins are Q3 or Q4, 21 of them in Q4.

I understand the trouble that good mid-majors can have scheduling but other than Michigan State, JMU didn't even try.

Indiana State did a little more but took blowout losses to Alabama and Michigan State and have a bad loss in league to Illinois State. Plus they would have lost two of three to Drake if they don't win the MVC.
 
After looking at their team sheets I have a hard time seeing Indiana State and James Madison getting at-large bids. ISU has 22 of 27 wins in Q3 and Q4 while 27 of JMU's 28 wins are Q3 or Q4, 21 of them in Q4.

I understand the trouble that good mid-majors can have scheduling but other than Michigan State, JMU didn't even try.

Indiana State did a little more but took blowout losses to Alabama and Michigan State and have a bad loss in league to Illinois State. Plus they would have lost two of three to Drake if they don't win the MVC.

An article recently shared on this site says the exact opposite. It said JMU tried to schedule and nobody would play them. They only got the Michigan St game because Izzo nephew is a JMU coach.

Drake is 6-4 in Q1/Q2 games. Indiana State 5-4. If you watch both teams play they're very good. The loser of their game today should at worst get a chance to play in Dayton.
 
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Because USF has 17 of their 23 wins vs quads 3/4 opponents. They have also suffered two quad 4 losses and yesterday’s set back to Tulsa was a quad 3 loss.
They have 1 impressive win over AZ. They also lost to UNCC and USF head to head. You want to say they’re in ok but a 7 seed? That’s crap.
 
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