Knowing Trump was a bad candidate in 2020 does not make you a Democratic voter.
www.cbsnews.com
No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a: | | | |
---|
Sample: 2033 | All | Trump | Haley |
Democrat | 5% | - | - |
Republican | 68% | 70% | 30% |
Independent | 22% | 37% | 62% |
Something else | 6% | 72% | 27% |
On most political matters, do you consider yourself: | | | |
---|
Sample: 2023 | All | Trump | Haley |
Liberal | 3% | - | - |
Moderate | 20% | 28% | 71% |
Conservative | 77% | 71% | 29% |
Before today, had you ever voted in a Republican presidential primary? | | | |
---|
Sample: 991 | All | Trump | Haley |
Yes | 84% | 63% | 36% |
No | 16% | 41% | 59% |
The far majority of voters had voted in a republican primary before.
You absolute max of your theory is 16% assuming that none of the first time republican primary voters were conservative which would be a crazy assumption.
He is a poor general election candidate because he lost moderate voters. That is very clear to those outside the cult.