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25% of Americans will not take COVID Vaccine

I guess you didn't watch the presser the other day. Ms Judy said we need to get to at least .7 to avoid the March surge. It does not appear that will happen.

Ms. Judy is an idiot. That has been clear from the beginning.
 
I guess you didn't watch the presser the other day. Ms Judy said we need to get to at least .7 to avoid the March surge. It does not appear that will happen.

Well, no I didn't watch it... but what she said is irrelevant for this discussion.
.7 means that it is going away. .8 means in is going away, .9 means it is going away. Above 1 means it is spreading.
 
And there was this thing called the Super Bowl two weeks ago. If you didn't think there would be some kind of uptick after that, you are pretty naïve.

1 week ago. I didn't say it will or won't have an impact. I am saying the Rt is not a predictive measure.
Never has been.
 
1 week ago. I didn't say it will or won't have an impact. I am saying the Rt is not a predictive measure.
Never has been.

Ok. Ms Judy is the health commissioner? Should I listen to her or a random poster on piratecrew.com?
 
Ok. Ms Judy is the health commissioner? Should I listen to her or a random poster on piratecrew.com?

Well, if you don't want to listen to random posters on piratecrew, why are you posting here?
I don't know what she said, so I can't really give an opinion on that. Feel free to provide a quote.

I can only tell you why you are wrong in thinking that .81 to .89 indicates a surge is coming.
 
Well, if you don't want to listen to random posters on piratecrew, why are you posting here?
I don't know what she said, so I can't really give an opinion on that. Feel free to provide a quote.

I can only tell you why you are wrong in thinking that .81 to .89 indicates a surge is coming.

If it goes up to 1 or past 1, am I then correct saying surge is coming?
 
If it goes up to 1 or past 1, am I then correct saying surge is coming?

No. It is not a predictive measure.

Look at what happened over the summer. After Rt was around .8 in May and June, it hit above 1 in July.
That did not result in an increase in cases.
 
@Merge I would just like to clarify one thing. Next November when Seton Hall has its first home game at the rock vs Monmouth, will there be maskless fans. Yes or no? Also for the 2021-22 season, will there be maskless fans and no capacity restrictions/social distancing restrictions?
 
I think the vaccine was the tool to beat the virus. It appears to be highly effective and we are well on our way to this being over.

There are now less people hospitalized with Covid than any day through all of November, December and January. That’s huge.

Things are improving rapidly, and the people who are most vulnerable are being protected. There will not be a reason to wear masks for risks from Covid by the fall... so, yes I expect to be at that game and I do not expect to be wearing a mask.
 
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I think the vaccine was the tool to beat the virus. It appears to be highly effective and we are well on our way to this being over.

There are now less people hospitalized with Covid than any day through all of November, December and January. That’s huge.

Things are improving rapidly, and the people who are most vulnerable are being protected. There will not be a reason to wear masks for risks from Covid by the fall... so, yes I expect to be at that game and I do not expect to be wearing a mask.

Ok, thank you! Just to confirm. 1,080 covid deaths yesterday. You consider that rapid progress?
 
Ok, thank you! Just to confirm. 1,080 covid deaths yesterday. You consider that rapid progress?

As they have always been, deaths are a lagging indicator. Although 1,080 is the lowest number since November.
7 day avg positivity rate is the lowest it has been in 4 months.
 
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Ok? I was referring to Mrs Biden as "Dr. Biden". So you agree with the president and the Doctors take on a "Dark Winter".
Merge ! Auditor! Back me up!!
Jk

No, it was a bullshit political statement consistent, like saying that Trump epitomized systemic racism
 
As they have always been, deaths are a lagging indicator. Although 1,080 is the lowest number since November.
7 day avg positivity rate is the lowest it has been in 4 months.

Merge, I have to say - bravo. When this was a bigger issue in 2020 I thought you were one of the panic peddlers. Now I see that you are data driven, reasonable and hope for this to end as most of us do.
 
Merge ! Auditor! Back me up!!
Jk

No, it was a bullshit political statement consistent, like saying that Trump epitomized systemic racism

If Trump goes against Biden in 2024, who will win the election? I am going to say Trump. I am awaiting everyone's response. Thank you!
 
If Trump goes against Biden in 2024, who will win the election? I am going to say Trump. I am awaiting everyone's response. Thank you!

Biden won't run in 2024. Trump probably won't either.

Kamala vs. Haley.
 
Merge, I have to say - bravo. When this was a bigger issue in 2020 I thought you were one of the panic peddlers. Now I see that you are data driven, reasonable and hope for this to end as most of us do.
Tongue in cheek
 
Too early to say. It is February of 2021. A lot can and will change. But that would be my matchup prediction.
 
Biden won't run in 2024. Trump probably won't either.

Kamala vs. Haley.

A couple other GOP candidates I wouldn't rule out. Larry Hogan and Chris Christie. This is a wild card but I think Tulsi Gabbard changes parties as well and runs as a republican in 2024. Let me know your thoughts.
 
I suspect the usual suspects in the senate will make a run - Cruz and Paul, probably Rubio again. They'll be joined by Hawley and possibly Tom Cotton.

I think Christie is absolutely getting his ducks in a row to make a run. Don't know enough about Hogan to comment. In 2014 I recall meeting a Morris County Freeholder who knew Christie well and I asked him if he was going to run for president in 2016. He said absolutely and gave me a look that left me with little doubt. The man has been determined to be president for a while now, but I think he missed his time. Should have run in 2012.

Here's a bit of trivia - if Christie were to win the presidency in 2024, we'd have back to back presidents with undergraduate degrees from the University of Delaware and law degrees from Big East (at least at one time) institutions: Syracuse (Biden) and Seton Hall (Christie).
 
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Biden won't run in 2024. Trump probably won't either.

Kamala vs. Haley.
Def the leaders today but I have this feeling things will change. Strategically and substantively I prefer Haley. I don’t dislike Pence fwiw
 
A couple other GOP candidates I wouldn't rule out. Larry Hogan and Chris Christie. This is a wild card but I think Tulsi Gabbard changes parties as well and runs as a republican in 2024. Let me know your thoughts.
Hogan, eh. No way Chris. Maybe Gabbard, maybe DeS. Scott has a good shot. Look for a first generation American as someone who will mix things up .... unless Romney screws it up
 
Def the leaders today but I have this feeling things will change. Strategically and substantively I prefer Haley. I don’t dislike Pence fwiw

I don't dislike Pence either. I do think the Republican candidate wins regardless. Thoughts? Also. Does Biden last 4 year? Or will Kamala become President at some point?
 
I think Christie is absolutely getting his ducks in a row to make a run. Don't know enough about Hogan to comment.

I suspect the usual suspects in the senate will make a run - Cruz and Paul, probably Rubio again. They'll be joined by Hawley and possibly Tom Cotton.
He is but he knows he got trounced in NH .... and MSM will declare trump 2.0
 
Hogan, eh. No way Chris. Maybe Gabbard, maybe DeS. Scott has a good shot. Look for a first generation American as someone who will mix things up .... unless Romney screws it up
I do not trust Romney at all. He is truly a RINO.
 
Am I insane to think that the plan the whole time was to make Kamala president? I think President Biden will resign in the next 12-24 months due to the Hunter scandal or old age. Is this too insane to think? I am awaiting thoughts. Thank you!
 
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